Хуавеи Предицтс 10 трендова у Смарт ПВ за 2025
Introduction:
Over the next 5 to 10 years, renewable energy will assume a more prominent role as a main power source for power grids. Solar power, in particular, as the most noteworthy form of renewable energy, has a particularly bright future. However, as renewable представља a greater proportion of total energy production, ensuring safety, reliability, and cost-effectiveness across generation assets will become the upmost priority.
With the rapid development of emerging ICT technologies such as AI, cloud, big data, and 5G, and in full consideration of the latest trends in power electronics technology, Huawei has engaged with experts in the field and has released 10 emerging technical trends for smart PV 2025.године. These trends encompass four dimensions: lower levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), power grid friendliness, intelligent convergence, and security and trustworthiness. The трендови aim to drive the industry toward intelligent green solutions, and provide insight into innovation and soaring growth in the new energy industry.
Тренд 1: Дигитализација
Key point: More than 90% of global PV plants will be digitalized.
Despite the booming global PV market, there are still many dumb devices in PV plants, from power generation to communications. These devices cannot be effectively monitored, nor can they provide fault alarm. With the rapid development of digital technologies such as 5G and cloud, it is expected that more than 90% of PV plants will be fully digitalized by 2025, making it possible for PV plants to be simple, intelligent, and efficient management.
Тренд 2: АИ-driven Смарт Upgrade
Key point: Више од 70% ПВ биљака ће применити АИ технике.
The in-depth integration of AI and PV will facilitate mutual sensing and interconnection between devices, and will improve power generation and O&M efficiency through collaborative optimization. AI technicques can offer promising new avenues for PV systems, including: proactive identification and protection of PV module and device faults with AI diagnosis algorithms; tracker algorithm optimization with масивни биљни подаци и само-учење за високе приходе; and AI-aided solar-storage synergy to automatically optimize PV-storage plant revenue. As LCOE continues to decrease and O&M complexity increases, AI techniques will be highly likely to widely apply in PV plants.
Тренд 3: Унманнед ПВ биљке
Key point: Više od 80% of the work in PV plants will be be dronovi.
With the ascendance of AI and the Internet of Things (IoT), intelligent products and services will bring convenience to the whole PV solution. With expert integrated experiences and continuous self-learning, AI will be widely deployed to replace O&M experts in many diagnostic and decision-making functions. Drone inspection and robot-based automatic O&M will handle and dangerous понављање O&m work that stalno requires a high degree of accuracy, for enhanced productivity and safety in PV plants. As is estimated, it is expected that ПВ plants in the future will be fully беспилотне.
Тренд 4: Проацтиве Support for Power Grids
Key point: PV plants will shift from grid adapting to grid supporting.
increasing penetration level of power-electronic-interfaced energy ће undermine power grid strength, ометајући broader application of PV systems. Over the next 5 years, PV plants must gradually evolve from adapting to the power grid, to supporting the power grid. To this end, inverters should possess capabilities such as wide short circuit ratio (SCR) adaptability, capability to control harmonic current within 1%, consecutive high/low voltage ride-through, and fast frequency regulation, which are necessary for grid connection.
Тренд 5: Solar + Storage
Key point: пропорција ПВ systems coupled with energy storage ће бити прелази 30%.
With the greater penetration of new energy sources, power grids will have increasingly stringent requirements for frequency regulation and peak shaving. In the meantime, battery costs are decreasing with technology advancement. It is projected that energy storage will work in tandem with PV systems, and become a critical component. Projections indicate that by 2025, пропорција PV systems with energy storage ће бити exceed 30%.
Тренд 6: Virtual Power Plants
Key point: Више од 80% residential systems, ће се повезати на мрежу Virtual Power Plant (VPP).
Over the next 5 years, ICT technologies, such as 5G, blockchain, and cloud services will be widely applied in distributed power plants, forming VPP for collaborative management, and participating in the scheduling, transaction, and auxiliary services for power systems. The development of VPP technology will inspire new business models and attract new market players in distributed PV scenaries, serving as an engine of growth for distributed PV.
Тренд 7: активна сигурност
Key point: Arc-fault circuit interrupter (AFCI) will become a must-have feature in distributed PV rooftop systems, and will be incorporated into international industry standards.
With the broader application of distributed PV, building and personal safety has become a major concern. PV arcing risks caused by the poor contact of nodes in PV modules, poor connections from PV connectors, or aged or Брокен цаблес, have become a pressing matter in industry. To mitigate such risks, AFCI will become a standard function for distributed PV rooftop systems, and will be incorporated into international industry standards.
Тренд 8: Виши Повер Денсити
Key point: Густина снаге инвертора ће бити increase by more than 50%.
With the trend of lower LCOE of solar, there calls higher requirements in higher power of a single module and инвертер лако maintenance. To achieve this, higher power density is required. Са прекидима у истраживању широког спектра, тражи као Сиц и Ган као велл ас Адванцед Цонтрол Алгоритхмс, Повер Денсити инвертер is expected to increase by more than 50% у наредних 5 година.
Тренд 9: модуларни дизајн
Key point: Core components such as inverters, ПЦС and energy storage devices жели да модуларни дизајн.
Инвертори, Пцсс, and energy storage devices су кључне компоненте у ПВ Плант, which greatly affect the availability of entire PV plant system. As the capacity and complexity of PV plants increase, the traditional, expert-driven approach for onsite maintenance will be too costly. Модуларни дизајн жели да постане маинстреам као што је Енаблес флексибилно распоређивање, глатко проширење, and expert-free maintenance, greatly reducing O & M costs and improving system availability.
Тренд 10: Security and Trustworthiness
Key point: Безбедност и поверење has become a necessary requirement for PV plants.
The cumulative increase in the capacity of global PV plants, and greater complexity of network architecture, which makes the network security risks of PV plants increasing. In addition, there are more stringent requirements for user privacy and security for distributed PV plants. All these trends suggest that PV plants need to possess security and trustworthiness capabilities in terms of reliability, availability, security, safety, resilience, and privacy.
Our common desire to explore as human beings, knows no limits. We are always looking to soar to new heights, to plunge deeper depths, and seek out new truths. The convergence of 5G, cloud and AI technologies is shaping a world where everything is sensed, connected, and intelligent at a speed faster than we think. By listing the top 10 trends for the PV industry for 2025, Huawei hopes to play its part in inspiring the creation of a green, intelligent world, in which the boundless potential of new energy solutions can be broadly shared across society.
Article produced in partnership with Huawei